PROBABILITY 08

Continuous Distributions

For a continuous random variable, probability is assigned to intervals through a probability density function.

Probability density

A density \(f_X(x)\) satisfies

\[f_X(x)\ge0,\qquad \int_{-\infty}^{\infty}f_X(x)\,dx=1.\]

Probability over an interval is

\[\boxed{P(a\le X\le b)=\int_a^b f_X(x)\,dx}\]

1. Density is not point probability

For a continuous random variable,

\[P(X=x)=0.\]

The density \(f_X(x)\) can be positive, but probability is obtained from area under the density curve.

2. Cumulative distribution function

\[\boxed{F_X(x)=P(X\le x)=\int_{-\infty}^{x}f_X(u)\,du}.\]

Where differentiable,

\[f_X(x)=F_X'(x).\]

3. Uniform distribution

If \(X\) is uniform on \([a,b]\),

\[f_X(x)=\frac1{b-a},\qquad a\le x\le b.\]

4. Normal distribution

A normal random variable has a bell-shaped density. We write

\[X\sim N(\mu,\sigma^2),\]

where \(\mu\) is the mean and \(\sigma^2\) the variance.

5. Exponential distribution

For \(X\sim\operatorname{Exp}(\lambda)\),

\[f_X(x)=\lambda e^{-\lambda x},\qquad x\ge0.\]

This distribution is important for waiting times in continuous-time stochastic models.

6. Calculus and probability

\[\boxed{\text{density}\xrightarrow{\text{integration}}\text{probability}}\]