PROBABILITY 07

Discrete Distributions

A discrete probability distribution assigns probability to each possible value of a discrete random variable.

Probability mass function

For a discrete random variable \(X\), define

\[\boxed{p_X(x)=P(X=x)}\]

This is the probability mass function, or pmf.

1. Conditions

A valid pmf satisfies

\[p_X(x)\ge0\]

and

\[\boxed{\sum_x p_X(x)=1}.\]

2. Example

If \(X\) is the number of heads in two fair coin tosses,

\[P(X=0)=\frac14,\qquad P(X=1)=\frac12,\qquad P(X=2)=\frac14.\]

3. Cumulative distribution function

The cumulative distribution function is

\[\boxed{F_X(x)=P(X\le x)}.\]

For a discrete variable it increases in jumps as values with positive probability are passed.

4. Bernoulli distribution

A Bernoulli variable represents one success/failure trial:

\[P(X=1)=p,\qquad P(X=0)=1-p.\]

5. Binomial distribution

If \(X\) counts successes in \(n\) independent Bernoulli trials,

\[P(X=k)=\binom nk p^k(1-p)^{n-k}.\]

6. Poisson distribution

A Poisson variable is often used for event counts:

\[P(X=k)=e^{-\lambda}\frac{\lambda^k}{k!},\qquad k=0,1,2,\ldots\]

Poisson distributions become especially important in continuous-time stochastic processes.

7. Central idea

\[\boxed{\text{discrete value}\rightarrow\text{probability mass}}\]